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2024-12-14 00:41:43

The price of natural gas futures in the United States continued to rise, with an increase of 5%.Market news: Russia may use new medium-range ballistic missiles to Ukraine.If the Bank of Canada cuts interest rates by 50bp as expected, it is expected that the pace of interest rate cuts will slow down. The Bank of Canada cut interest rates sharply for the second time in a row this month, and hinted that policymakers are prepared to slow down the pace of monetary easing. The bank cut interest rates by 50 basis points to 3.25%, bringing borrowing costs to the upper part of their expected range of neutral interest rates. However, they also hinted that after the sharp interest rate cut expected by the market and most economists, there may be a smaller interest rate cut again in 2025. Officials dropped their previous statement that they expected to further reduce borrowing costs. "With the policy interest rate greatly reduced, we expect that if the economic development is generally in line with expectations, monetary policy will adopt a more gradual approach," Bank of Canada Governor Mackler said in a prepared speech. "Looking ahead, we will evaluate the necessity of further reducing the policy interest rate one by one."


Vanguard went against tradition and suggested the strategy of "six shares of debt and four shares" to deal with policy risks. In view of the high interest rate and stock valuation, Vanguard Group suggested that investors establish defensive positions in the new year and increase their investment in bonds instead of stocks. The company's 2025 outlook lists the asset allocation model built by economists and portfolio teams, which allocates 62% of the funds to fixed-income securities and the remaining 38% to stocks. In contrast, the ratio of stocks to bonds in the traditional portfolio is 60% to 40%. Although the US economy is still strong, the stock market valuation is close to historical highs, which makes stocks more vulnerable to potential policy risks after Trump takes office. At the same time, interest rates may remain higher than those in the 2010 s, thus providing investors with stable income and more protection in the case of risk aversion.Fitch: The progress of inflation decline seems to have ended. Brian Coulton, chief economist of Fitch, said that the decline of core commodity prices (the main force of inflation decline this year) seems to have ended. With the increase of automobile prices, the core commodity prices rose by 0.3% month-on-month. Service inflation is declining, but the rate of decline is very slow, because rent inflation is stubborn, and the service inflation is 4.6%, which is still far higher than the pre-epidemic level.Fitch: The progress of inflation decline seems to have ended. Brian Coulton, chief economist of Fitch, said that the decline of core commodity prices (the main force of inflation decline this year) seems to have ended. With the increase of automobile prices, the core commodity prices rose by 0.3% month-on-month. Service inflation is declining, but the rate of decline is very slow, because rent inflation is stubborn, and the service inflation is 4.6%, which is still far higher than the pre-epidemic level.


CFO of Goldman Sachs: Deregulation by the US government will promote more business activities within the company.Goldman Sachs raised the target price of several hotel chain stocks. Goldman Sachs raised the target price of Hilton Hotel from $247 to $277, Hyatt Hotels Group from $151 to $167, and Marriott from $280 to $314.CEO of ExxonMobil: Our next generation graphite will shorten the charging time and increase the cruising range of electric vehicles by 30%.

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